Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Esenler Erokspor v Fatih Karagümrük — Team-Based Signals
Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
Esenler Erokspor
TÜK
Esenler Erokspor 2-5 Fatih Karagümrük — Actual Match Statistics
Fatih Karagümrük ran out comfortable winners over Esenler Erokspor 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (36% / 23% / 41%) promised a tight game; Fatih Karagümrük found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Esenler Erokspor had 40% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 60%, shots finished 8-18.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Esenler Erokspor had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Esenler Erokspor and 0.67 for Fatih Karagümrük.
What was the final score of Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Esenler Erokspor 2-5 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - Cup on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Esenler Erokspor 36%, draw 23%, Fatih Karagümrük 41%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.