Sivasspor 1-3 Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 3 Dec 2025

📅03/12/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. EU Bookmakers 23%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+4% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sivasspor
1-3
AWAY Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sivasspor vs Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. saw off Sivasspor 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sivasspor at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sivasspor had 58% of the ball to Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.'s 42%, shots finished 19-10.

What was the final score of Sivasspor vs Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.?

Sivasspor 1-3 Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. in the Turkey - Cup on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sivasspor vs Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sivasspor win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sivasspor 51%, draw 22%, Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Sivasspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sivasspor) ✓ Over 2.5
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