Dorking Wanderers 1-0 Bath City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.47
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
9%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 27% vs market 22.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-7.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Bath City EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
2.20/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.65
+20% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorking Wanderers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bath City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.02.2022 Bath City Bath City 0-2 HT 0-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
09.10.2021 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 4-1 HT 2-1 Bath City Bath City İCON
05.12.2020 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-1 Bath City Bath City İCON
19.07.2020 Bath City Bath City 1-2 HT 0-2 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
01.02.2020 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
26.10.2019 Bath City Bath City 1-0 HT 0-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dorking Wanderers
1-0
AWAY Bath City
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dorking Wanderers vs Bath City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers squeezed past Bath City 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dorking Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Dorking Wanderers had 51% of the ball to Bath City's 49%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dorking Wanderers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dorking Wanderers and 0.83 for Bath City.

What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs Bath City?

Dorking Wanderers 1-0 Bath City in the England - Conference on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs Bath City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 50%, draw 23%, Bath City 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorking Wanderers), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✓ BTTS No
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