Tonbridge Angels 2-0 Weston-super-Mare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.67
Over 2.5
36%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.55
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
13%
4.13
6+ Goals
6%
20.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.55 — our 37% vs market 31.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.7pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.8pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +11%
1.47/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.17
+12% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tonbridge Angels
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
27.01.2024 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 3-1 HT 1-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
12.08.2023 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 0-1 HT 0-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tonbridge Angels
2-0
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Tonbridge Angels vs Weston-super-Mare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tonbridge Angels saw off Weston-super-Mare 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Tonbridge Angels found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tonbridge Angels had 44% of the ball to Weston-super-Mare's 56%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Weston-super-Mare led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tonbridge Angels and 2.00 for Weston-super-Mare.

What was the final score of Tonbridge Angels vs Weston-super-Mare?

Tonbridge Angels 2-0 Weston-super-Mare in the England - Conference on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tonbridge Angels vs Weston-super-Mare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tonbridge Angels win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Tonbridge Angels 35%, draw 31%, Weston-super-Mare 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tonbridge Angels), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tonbridge Angels) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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