Truro City 2-1 AFC Hornchurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.25
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
4.81
6+ Goals
7%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
51%
+2.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.8pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+0.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.2pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Truro City EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 24%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.84/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.72
+12% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
393 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 161 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Truro City
2-1
AWAY AFC Hornchurch
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Truro City vs AFC Hornchurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Truro City edged past AFC Hornchurch 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Truro City as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Truro City had 60% of the ball to AFC Hornchurch's 40%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of Truro City vs AFC Hornchurch?

Truro City 2-1 AFC Hornchurch in the England - Conference on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Truro City vs AFC Hornchurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Truro City win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Truro City 54%, draw 24%, AFC Hornchurch 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Truro City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Truro City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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