Weston-super-Mare 3-1 Tonbridge Angels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.75
No
40%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.1
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.5
6+ Goals
15%
14.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.5 — our 27% vs market 22.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.6pp
40%
BTTS No
47%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 32%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +25%
1.51/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.27
-4% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston-super-Mare
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tonbridge Angels
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
12.08.2023 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 0-1 HT 0-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
POST-MATCH Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston-super-Mare saw off Tonbridge Angels 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Weston-super-Mare made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels?

Weston-super-Mare 3-1 Tonbridge Angels in the England - Conference on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 39%, draw 28%, Tonbridge Angels 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston-super-Mare), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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