ICS Tlemcen 1-3 USM Setif — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - National Cup, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.1pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.0pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ICS Tlemcen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Setif EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH ICS Tlemcen vs USM Setif
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Setif got the better of ICS Tlemcen 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 30%) promised a tight game; USM Setif found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of ICS Tlemcen vs USM Setif?

ICS Tlemcen 1-3 USM Setif in the Algeria - National Cup on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ICS Tlemcen vs USM Setif?

Before kick-off our model rated a ICS Tlemcen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split ICS Tlemcen 37%, draw 33%, USM Setif 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (ICS Tlemcen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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