US Chaouia 1-0 WA Mostaganem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - National Cup, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.0pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.3pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Chaouia EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY WA Mostaganem EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Chaouia
1-0
AWAY WA Mostaganem
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH US Chaouia vs WA Mostaganem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Chaouia nicked a narrow win over WA Mostaganem 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 34% / 26%) promised a tight game; US Chaouia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, US Chaouia had 52% of the ball to WA Mostaganem's 48%, shots finished 9-5.

What was the final score of US Chaouia vs WA Mostaganem?

US Chaouia 1-0 WA Mostaganem in the Algeria - National Cup on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Chaouia vs WA Mostaganem?

Before kick-off our model rated a US Chaouia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split US Chaouia 40%, draw 34%, WA Mostaganem 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (US Chaouia), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (US Chaouia) ✓ Under 2.5
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