USM El Harrach 1-0 NA Hussein Dey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - National Cup, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.67
No
62%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
33%
+4.7pp
62%
BTTS No
67%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM El Harrach EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY NA Hussein Dey EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -33%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
392 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM El Harrach
2W-0D-0L
AWAY NA Hussein Dey
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
10.09.2015 USM El Harrach USM El Harrach 2-0 HT 1-0 NA Hussein Dey NA Hussein Dey CZYR
05.12.2014 NA Hussein Dey NA Hussein Dey 1-2 HT 1-1 USM El Harrach USM El Harrach CZYR
POST-MATCH USM El Harrach vs NA Hussein Dey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM El Harrach nicked a narrow win over NA Hussein Dey 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had USM El Harrach as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, USM El Harrach had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for USM El Harrach and 0.50 for NA Hussein Dey.

What was the final score of USM El Harrach vs NA Hussein Dey?

USM El Harrach 1-0 NA Hussein Dey in the Algeria - National Cup on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM El Harrach vs NA Hussein Dey?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM El Harrach win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split USM El Harrach 50%, draw 27%, NA Hussein Dey 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM El Harrach), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM El Harrach) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CZYRK More Algeria - National Cup
4 Jan 2025
00:00 ICS Tlemcen vs USM Setif Analysis →
16:00 MC Magra vs MB Rouisset Analysis →
16:00 RC Kouba vs GC Mascara Analysis →
16:00 US Chaouia vs WA Mostaganem Analysis →
16:00 JSM Bejaia vs Hassi R Mel Analysis →
17:00 Bechar Djedid vs MC Oran Analysis →