Saint-Etienne 3-1 Reims — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 4 Jan 2025

Saint-Etienne
3-1 HT 0-1
Reims
📅04/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Saint-Etienne vs Reims Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 28% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.19
1/2
10%
24.7
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
8%
7.35
X/2
19%
4.77
X/X
13%
4.76
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.82
2/X
5%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.9pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Saint-Etienne v Reims — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Reims EU Bookmakers 49%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.55/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.59
+27% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 83%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
17.6 Crosses 18.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Saint-Etienne vs Reims Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saint-Etienne
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Reims
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.11 xG 1.48
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
349 Passes 319
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.05.2022 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-2 HT 1-1 Reims Reims FR1
11.12.2021 Reims Reims 2-0 HT 1-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
20.02.2021 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-1 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
09.01.2021 Reims Reims 3-1 HT 2-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
23.02.2020 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-1 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
08.12.2019 Reims Reims 3-1 HT 1-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1

Saint-Etienne 3-1 Reims — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Etienne
3-1
AWAY Reims
2.22 xG 1.11
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 9
444 Passes 372
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Saint-Etienne vs Reims
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Etienne got the better of Reims 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Reims at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Saint-Etienne had 53% of the ball to Reims's 47%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.22 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reims led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Saint-Etienne and 2.00 for Reims.

What was the final score of Saint-Etienne vs Reims?

Saint-Etienne 3-1 Reims in the France - Ligue 1 on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Etienne vs Reims?

Before kick-off our model rated an Reims win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Saint-Etienne 29%, draw 25%, Reims 46%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Reims) ✗ BTTS No
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