Metz 0-0 Pau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 4 Jan 2025

Metz
0-0 HT 0-0
Pau
📅04/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Metz vs Pau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.03
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.63
6+ Goals
8%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 32% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.49
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.25
X/1
20%
4.19
X/2
8%
8.35
X/X
12%
4.69
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
9%
6.52
2/X
5%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Metz v Pau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metz EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Pau EU Bookmakers 27%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.63/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.28
+17% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
16.4 Crosses 17.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Metz vs Pau Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metz
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Pau
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.05 xG 0.85
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
409 Passes 384
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.04.2023 Pau Pau 1-1 HT 0-0 Metz Metz FR2
01.10.2022 Metz Metz 1-0 HT 1-0 Pau Pau FR2

Metz 0-0 Pau — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metz
0-0
AWAY Pau
2.96 xG 0.95
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
484 Passes 234
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
39 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Metz vs Pau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metz and Pau played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Metz at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Metz had 64% of the ball to Pau's 36%, shots finished 22-15, expected goals 2.96 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Metz had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Metz and 0.50 for Pau.

What was the final score of Metz vs Pau?

Metz 0-0 Pau in the France - Ligue 2 on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metz vs Pau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metz win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Metz 51%, draw 28%, Pau 21%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Metz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Metz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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