Guingamp 1-1 Dunkerque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 4 Jan 2025

Guingamp
1-1 HT 0-0
Dunkerque
📅04/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Guingamp vs Dunkerque Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.75
6+ Goals
10%
16.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 30% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.12
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.6
X/1
10%
4.77
X/2
16%
6.5
X/X
8%
4.45
2/1
10%
28.0
2/2
13%
4.82
2/X
9%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Guingamp v Dunkerque — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +22%
1.32/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.96
-4% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
21.2 Crosses 14.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Guingamp vs Dunkerque Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dunkerque
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.10 xG 1.14
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
337 Passes 327
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-1 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
12.08.2023 Guingamp Guingamp 0-1 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
07.05.2022 Dunkerque Dunkerque 1-3 HT 0-3 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
21.12.2021 Guingamp Guingamp 2-1 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
05.02.2021 Guingamp Guingamp 0-0 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
03.10.2020 Dunkerque Dunkerque 1-0 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2

Guingamp 1-1 Dunkerque — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp
1-1
AWAY Dunkerque
0.45 xG 0.89
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
342 Passes 486
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 22
9 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guingamp vs Dunkerque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp and Dunkerque shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Guingamp had 43% of the ball to Dunkerque's 57%, shots finished 5-10, expected goals 0.45 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guingamp had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Guingamp and 0.67 for Dunkerque.

What was the final score of Guingamp vs Dunkerque?

Guingamp 1-1 Dunkerque in the France - Ligue 2 on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Dunkerque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 39%, draw 27%, Dunkerque 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guingamp), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guingamp) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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