Stade Lavallois 2-0 Lorient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 4 Jan 2025

Stade Lavallois
2-0 HT 0-0
Lorient
📅04/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Stade Lavallois vs Lorient Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
42%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 30% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.73
1/2
5%
23.85
1/X
8%
15.0
X/1
6%
8.81
X/2
15%
4.16
X/X
15%
5.01
2/1
11%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.36
2/X
9%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+2.8pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.2pp
42%
Away Win
52%
-10.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stade Lavallois v Lorient — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Lorient EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.26/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.13
+19% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -38%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 81%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
18.3 Crosses 22.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7

Stade Lavallois vs Lorient Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Lavallois
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lorient
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
218 Passes 486
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.07.2019 Lorient Lorient 1-0 HT 1-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois HAZ
08.08.2017 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-1 HT 0-1 Lorient Lorient FRLK
09.07.2014 Lorient Lorient 1-2 HT 0-2 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois HAZ
03.01.2006 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-2 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR2
03.08.2005 Lorient Lorient 2-1 HT 1-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
04.02.2005 Lorient Lorient 1-1 HT 0-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2

Stade Lavallois 2-0 Lorient — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Lavallois
2-0
AWAY Lorient
1.77 xG 1.56
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
371 Passes 556
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
22 Box Touches 34
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stade Lavallois vs Lorient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois saw off Lorient 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lorient at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Stade Lavallois had 42% of the ball to Lorient's 58%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.77 to 1.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lorient led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Stade Lavallois and 1.33 for Lorient.

What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Lorient?

Stade Lavallois 2-0 Lorient in the France - Ligue 2 on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Lorient?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 26%, draw 32%, Lorient 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lorient) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lorient) ✓ Under 2.5
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