Haverfordwest County 5-1 Briton Ferry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.41
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.18
6+ Goals
7%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 28% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
14%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
65%
-7.5pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.5pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.8pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 17%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
2.09/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/1.96
+7% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +126% / -7%
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
404 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haverfordwest County
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Briton Ferry
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.10.2024 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 1-2 HT 1-1 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
POST-MATCH Haverfordwest County vs Briton Ferry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haverfordwest County cruised past Briton Ferry 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Haverfordwest County as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Haverfordwest County vs Briton Ferry?

Haverfordwest County 5-1 Briton Ferry in the Wales - Premier League on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haverfordwest County vs Briton Ferry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Haverfordwest County 58%, draw 20%, Briton Ferry 22%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haverfordwest County), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Haverfordwest County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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