Penybont vs Connahs Quay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Penybont v Connahs Quay — Team-Based Signals
Penybont vs Connahs Quay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 2-0
Penybont
GAL
0-0
HT 0-0
Penybont
GAL
1-1
HT 0-0
Connahs Quay
GAL
0-1
HT 0-0
Connahs Quay
GAL
Penybont nicked a narrow win over Connahs Quay 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 39% / 24% — and on the day Penybont made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Penybont and 1.17 for Connahs Quay.
What was the final score of Penybont vs Connahs Quay?
Penybont 1-0 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Penybont vs Connahs Quay?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Penybont 37%, draw 39%, Connahs Quay 24%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.