The New Saints vs Newtown Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
The New Saints v Newtown — Team-Based Signals
The New Saints vs Newtown Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
The New Saints
GAL
0-5
HT 0-2
The New Saints
GAL
The New Saints 2-1 Newtown — Actual Match Statistics
The New Saints squeezed past Newtown 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, The New Saints had 74% of the ball to Newtown's 26%, shots finished 26-4.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for The New Saints and 0.33 for Newtown.
What was the final score of The New Saints vs Newtown?
The New Saints 2-1 Newtown in the Wales - Premier League on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Newtown?
Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 67%, draw 17%, Newtown 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.