Odisha FC 2-4 FC Goa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.5pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.6pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.0pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odisha FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Goa EU Bookmakers 43%
+21% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +13%
1.06/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.38
+16% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
13.6 Crosses 19.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odisha FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FC Goa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.88 xG 1.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
240 Passes 315
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.02.2024 Odisha FC Odisha FC 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
22.01.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 2-3 HT 0-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HINSK
07.10.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 3-2 HT 0-1 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
06.02.2023 Odisha FC Odisha FC 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
10.12.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 3-0 HT 0-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
01.02.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 1-1 HT 0-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odisha FC
2-4
AWAY FC Goa
1.80 xG 2.06
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
390 Passes 210
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
31 Box Touches 26
34 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Odisha FC vs FC Goa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Goa beat Odisha FC 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 22% / 38% — and on the day FC Goa made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Odisha FC had 62% of the ball to FC Goa's 38%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.80 to 2.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Goa led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Odisha FC and 1.83 for FC Goa.

What was the final score of Odisha FC vs FC Goa?

Odisha FC 2-4 FC Goa in the India - Super League on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odisha FC vs FC Goa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Odisha FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Odisha FC 40%, draw 22%, FC Goa 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Odisha FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Odisha FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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HİNSL More India - Super League
4 Jan 2025
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