Portimonense 1-0 Alverca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 4 Jan 2025

Portimonense
1-0 HT 0-0
Alverca
📅04/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Portimonense vs Alverca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
46%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.62
Over
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No Pick
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.45
2-3
43%
1.71
4-5
20%
4.33
6+
8%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Portimonense v Alverca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Portimonense The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Alverca The Market 43%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.36 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.90
1.69 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.42
Great Attackvs comparable teams Great
Average Defensevs comparable teams Strong
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.1 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Portimonense 1-0 Alverca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense
1-0
AWAY Alverca
1.16 xG 0.91
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 19
167 Passes 382
74% Pass Accuracy 89%
6 Crosses 47
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Portimonense vs Alverca
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Portimonense shaded a tight game against Alverca 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

Our pre-match lean was Alverca at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) landed.

On the day, Alverca saw more of the ball, 67% to 33%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 1.16 to 0.91.

Portimonense vs Alverca Result & Final Score

Portimonense 1-0 Alverca in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Portimonense vs Alverca Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Alverca win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Portimonense 29%, draw 25%, Alverca 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alverca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alverca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR2 More Portugal - 2nd Division
4 Jan 2025
17:00 Chaves vs Penafiel Analysis →
18:30 CD Feirense vs Leixoes Analysis →
21:00 Tondela vs Uniao De Leiria Analysis →