Tondela 1-4 Uniao De Leiria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.6
Over
42%
2.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.97
No
52%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.4
2-3
44%
1.71
4-5
16%
4.42
6+
8%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Tondela The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao De Leiria The Market 32%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
1.34 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.28
0.84 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.13
Average Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.1 Crosses 20.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tondela
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.02 xG 1.31
55% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 8
366 Passes 278
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
02.08.2024 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 2-1 HT 1-0 Tondela Tondela HAZ
24.02.2024 Tondela Tondela 1-1 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR2
01.10.2023 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 2-2 HT 1-0 Tondela Tondela POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tondela
1-4
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
1.81 xG 1.88
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
342 Passes 317
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Tondela vs Uniao De Leiria
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Uniao De Leiria dismantled Tondela 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Uniao De Leiria made the difference. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (58%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Tondela had 53% of the ball to Uniao De Leiria's 47%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.81 to 1.88.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Uniao De Leiria led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tondela and 1.67 for Uniao De Leiria.

Tondela vs Uniao De Leiria Result & Final Score

Tondela 1-4 Uniao De Leiria in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Tondela vs Uniao De Leiria Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tondela 38%, draw 28%, Uniao De Leiria 34%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tondela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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