Moreirense 1-1 AVS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.21
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
5.18
6+ Goals
7%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.67
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.85
X/1
21%
3.95
X/2
11%
7.95
X/X
13%
3.87
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
10%
7.05
2/X
7%
16.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.9pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreirense EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY AVS EU Bookmakers 26%
+9% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.48/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.12
+28% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
21.6 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moreirense
1-1
AWAY AVS
1.62 xG 1.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 9
368 Passes 261
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Moreirense vs AVS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreirense and AVS couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Moreirense at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Moreirense had 55% of the ball to AVS's 45%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.62 to 1.75.

What was the final score of Moreirense vs AVS?

Moreirense 1-1 AVS in the Portugal - Premier League on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreirense vs AVS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moreirense win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Moreirense 47%, draw 26%, AVS 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Moreirense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Moreirense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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