MKE Ankaragücü 2-0 Keçiörengücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.72
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.32
6+ Goals
8%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 31% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.26
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.8
X/1
14%
4.09
X/2
14%
9.11
X/X
13%
5.38
2/1
8%
23.0
2/2
7%
6.85
2/X
8%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.8pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +18%
1.45/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.35
-21% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
21.6 Crosses 15.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Keçiörengücü
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.57 xG 0.90
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 Passes 408
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.05.2022 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-2 HT 1-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
26.12.2021 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-1 HT 1-1 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
31.01.2016 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-1 HT 2-1 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü S2-K
19.09.2015 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 0-1 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
2-0
AWAY Keçiörengücü
0.91 xG 0.65
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
255 Passes 346
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MKE Ankaragücü vs Keçiörengücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MKE Ankaragücü got the better of Keçiörengücü 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had MKE Ankaragücü as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, MKE Ankaragücü had 43% of the ball to Keçiörengücü's 57%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.91 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, MKE Ankaragücü had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for MKE Ankaragücü and 0.75 for Keçiörengücü.

What was the final score of MKE Ankaragücü vs Keçiörengücü?

MKE Ankaragücü 2-0 Keçiörengücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MKE Ankaragücü vs Keçiörengücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split MKE Ankaragücü 46%, draw 28%, Keçiörengücü 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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