Fatih Karagümrük 0-2 Pendikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 4 Jan 2025

Fatih Karagümrük
0-2 HT 0-2
Pendikspor
📅04/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Fatih Karagümrük vs Pendikspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.44
6+ Goals
11%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 27% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.72
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.55
X/1
12%
4.55
X/2
10%
7.38
X/X
13%
4.94
2/1
6%
24.3
2/2
11%
5.34
2/X
9%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fatih Karagümrük v Pendikspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.45/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.07
+17% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +45%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
15.5 Crosses 15.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Fatih Karagümrük vs Pendikspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Pendikspor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.84 xG 1.14
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
386 Passes 288
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 2-0 HT 1-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor TSL
23.09.2023 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
04.11.2018 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 4-1 HT 2-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2-K
16.12.2017 Pendikspor Pendikspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük S2-B
26.02.2017 Pendikspor Pendikspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük S2-B
15.10.2016 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 2-0 HT 0-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2-B

Fatih Karagümrük 0-2 Pendikspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
0-2
AWAY Pendikspor
0.69 xG 1.63
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
507 Passes 238
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 20
30 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fatih Karagümrük vs Pendikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pendikspor beat Fatih Karagümrük 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Fatih Karagümrük at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Fatih Karagümrük had 66% of the ball to Pendikspor's 34%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.69 to 1.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fatih Karagümrük and 0.67 for Pendikspor.

What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Pendikspor?

Fatih Karagümrük 0-2 Pendikspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fatih Karagümrük vs Pendikspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 47%, draw 27%, Pendikspor 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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