Yeni Malatyaspor 2-4 Boluspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
9.57
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
63%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
8%
+11.1pp
18%
Draw
17%
+0.9pp
63%
Away Win
75%
-12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeni Malatyaspor EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Boluspor EU Bookmakers 80%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.78/2.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.21
+39% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% /
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
235 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 82%
6.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
9.2 Crosses 12.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeni Malatyaspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Boluspor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.99 xG 1.57
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
188 Passes 341
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 1
12.11.2022 Boluspor Boluspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor T1L
22.07.2017 Boluspor Boluspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor HAZ
14.05.2017 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
05.02.2017 Boluspor Boluspor 4-2 HT 2-2 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor HAZ
24.12.2016 Boluspor Boluspor 1-5 HT 1-4 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor T1L
06.08.2016 Boluspor Boluspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeni Malatyaspor
2-4
AWAY Boluspor
2.32 xG 1.86
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 9
324 Passes 400
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 50
8 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Yeni Malatyaspor vs Boluspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boluspor saw off Yeni Malatyaspor 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Boluspor as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yeni Malatyaspor had 46% of the ball to Boluspor's 54%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 2.32 to 1.86 — on chances, Yeni Malatyaspor could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Yeni Malatyaspor and 1.33 for Boluspor.

What was the final score of Yeni Malatyaspor vs Boluspor?

Yeni Malatyaspor 2-4 Boluspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeni Malatyaspor vs Boluspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boluspor win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Yeni Malatyaspor 19%, draw 18%, Boluspor 63%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boluspor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boluspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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