Deportivo Alaves 1-1 Real Oviedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 4 Jan 2026

Deportivo Alaves
1 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Real Oviedo
📅04/01/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2025/2026

Deportivo Alaves vs Real Oviedo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
17%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
72%
1.36
Over
28%
2.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.73
No
62%
1.4
Total Goals
0-1
46%
1.8
2-3
42%
1.9
4-5
11%
7.73
6+
1%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.75
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
5%
16.95
X/1
20%
4.07
X/2
7%
8.65
X/X
24%
3.18
2/1
3%
35.0
2/2
9%
8.45
2/X
4%
18.7
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Deportivo Alaves v Real Oviedo — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Deportivo Alaves The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo The Market 23%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.09 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.67
0.75 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.69
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Bad
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 71%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13
26 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3

Deportivo Alaves vs Real Oviedo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.24 xG 0.95
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
256 Passes 232
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
12 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.01.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS2
29.10.2022 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
10.08.2019 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves HAZ
30.01.2016 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS2
30.08.2015 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 2-0 HT 2-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
01.04.2001 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 3-3 HT 2-1 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1

Deportivo Alaves 1-1 Real Oviedo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves
1 - 1
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.83 xG 2.44
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
363 Passes 258
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 28
28 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Deportivo Alaves vs Real Oviedo
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Deportivo Alaves and Real Oviedo traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-0.

We leaned Deportivo Alaves at 50% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals card split: under 2.5 goals (72%) came in, no to both teams scoring (62%) didn't.

By the numbers, Deportivo Alaves had 57% of the ball to Real Oviedo's 43%, shots finished 19-18, expected goals 1.83 to 2.44.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Alaves had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 1.17 for Real Oviedo.

Deportivo Alaves vs Real Oviedo Result & Final Score

Deportivo Alaves 1 - 1 Real Oviedo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Deportivo Alaves vs Real Oviedo Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 50%, draw 33%, Real Oviedo 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Alaves), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS1 More Spain - Primera Liga
4 Jan 2026
16:00 Sevilla vs Levante Analysis →
18:15 Real Madrid vs Real Betis Analysis →
20:30 Mallorca vs Girona Analysis →
23:00 Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid Analysis →