Mallorca vs Girona Prediction — Model Probabilities
Mallorca v Girona — Team-Based Signals
Mallorca vs Girona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Mallorca 1-2 Girona — Actual Match Statistics
Girona shaded a tight game against Mallorca 2-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Mallorca at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
By the numbers, Girona saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.26 to 1.51.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Mallorca against 1.83 for Girona.
Mallorca vs Girona Result & Final Score
Mallorca 1 - 2 Girona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Mallorca vs Girona Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Mallorca win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mallorca 42%, draw 31%, Girona 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.