Mallorca 1-0 Girona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.18
6+ Goals
8%
20.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.21
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
14%
6.77
X/2
13%
4.57
X/X
11%
4.14
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.0
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+6.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.8pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mallorca EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Girona EU Bookmakers 48%
+11% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.09/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.07
+13% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.9
17.0 Crosses 20.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mallorca
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Girona
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.41 xG 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
268 Passes 373
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.01.2024 Mallorca Mallorca 3-2 HT 3-0 Girona Girona İSPK
23.09.2023 Girona Girona 5-3 HT 4-1 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
04.05.2023 Girona Girona 2-1 HT 1-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
03.09.2022 Mallorca Mallorca 1-1 HT 0-0 Girona Girona İS1
30.01.2021 Mallorca Mallorca 1-0 HT 0-0 Girona Girona İS2
14.11.2020 Girona Girona 0-1 HT 0-1 Mallorca Mallorca İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mallorca
1-0
AWAY Girona
1.26 xG 1.01
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
229 Passes 402
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 28
22 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mallorca vs Girona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mallorca squeezed past Girona 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Mallorca made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Mallorca had 40% of the ball to Girona's 60%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.26 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mallorca had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mallorca and 1.67 for Girona.

What was the final score of Mallorca vs Girona?

Mallorca 1-0 Girona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mallorca vs Girona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mallorca 34%, draw 26%, Girona 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Girona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Girona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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