Athletic Bilbao 0-0 Barcelona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 3 Mar 2024

Athletic Bilbao
0-0 HT 0-0
Barcelona
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.39
6+ Goals
12%
12.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.49
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
11%
6.49
X/2
14%
4.96
X/X
11%
4.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
32.0
2/2
20%
3.07
2/X
8%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 32.0 — our 11% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Athletic Bilbao v Barcelona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +27%
1.20/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.02
-18% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -5%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 82%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
22.9 Crosses 14.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Barcelona
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.43 xG 1.42
35% Ball Possession 65%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
266 Passes 596
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
26 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.01.2024 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 4-2 HT 1-2 Barcelona Barcelona İSPK
22.10.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 1-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
12.03.2023 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 0-1 HT 0-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
23.10.2022 Barcelona Barcelona 4-0 HT 3-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
27.02.2022 Barcelona Barcelona 4-0 HT 1-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
20.01.2022 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 3-2 HT 1-1 Barcelona Barcelona İSPK

Athletic Bilbao 0-0 Barcelona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao
0-0
AWAY Barcelona
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
280 Passes 485
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao and Barcelona fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Barcelona at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao had 40% of the ball to Barcelona's 60%, shots finished 8-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 2.33 for Barcelona.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona?

Athletic Bilbao 0-0 Barcelona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao 35%, draw 24%, Barcelona 41%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barcelona) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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