Mallorca 2-1 Girona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.35
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.07
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
16%
5.21
X/2
13%
5.36
X/X
14%
3.62
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
4.23
2/X
9%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mallorca EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Girona EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +10%
1.06/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.14
-17% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 74%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
19.6 Crosses 20.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mallorca
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Girona
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.43 xG 1.68
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
255 Passes 398
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Mallorca Mallorca 1-0 HT 1-0 Girona Girona İS1
24.01.2024 Mallorca Mallorca 3-2 HT 3-0 Girona Girona İSPK
23.09.2023 Girona Girona 5-3 HT 4-1 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
04.05.2023 Girona Girona 2-1 HT 1-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
03.09.2022 Mallorca Mallorca 1-1 HT 0-0 Girona Girona İS1
30.01.2021 Mallorca Mallorca 1-0 HT 0-0 Girona Girona İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mallorca
2-1
AWAY Girona
1.22 xG 0.82
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
233 Passes 579
81% Pass Accuracy 93%
16 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 44
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mallorca vs Girona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mallorca nicked a narrow win over Girona 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Mallorca found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mallorca had 31% of the ball to Girona's 69%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.22 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mallorca had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mallorca and 1.67 for Girona.

What was the final score of Mallorca vs Girona?

Mallorca 2-1 Girona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mallorca vs Girona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mallorca 34%, draw 29%, Girona 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Girona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS1 More Spain - Primera Liga
14 Dec 2024
16:00 Espanyol vs Osasuna Analysis →
20:30 Sevilla vs Celta Vigo Analysis →
23:00 Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Analysis →