Sevilla 1-0 Celta Vigo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.65
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.12
6+ Goals
10%
20.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.69
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
12.95
X/1
17%
5.34
X/2
12%
5.93
X/X
13%
3.96
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
13%
4.29
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.8pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -18%
1.07/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.40
-5% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
20.0 Crosses 15.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Celta Vigo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.97 xG 1.36
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 Passes 380
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Sevilla Sevilla 1-2 HT 1-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
04.11.2023 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-1 HT 1-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
07.04.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 2-2 HT 1-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
30.12.2022 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-1 HT 1-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
22.01.2022 Sevilla Sevilla 2-2 HT 0-2 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
17.10.2021 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0-1 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla
1-0
AWAY Celta Vigo
0.66 xG 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
342 Passes 435
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 20
7 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sevilla vs Celta Vigo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla nicked a narrow win over Celta Vigo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Sevilla made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Sevilla had 45% of the ball to Celta Vigo's 55%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.66 to 1.17 — the balance of chances actually favoured Celta Vigo.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sevilla and 1.33 for Celta Vigo.

What was the final score of Sevilla vs Celta Vigo?

Sevilla 1-0 Celta Vigo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla vs Celta Vigo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 39%, draw 29%, Celta Vigo 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sevilla), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sevilla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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