Girona vs Mallorca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Girona v Mallorca — Team-Based Signals
Girona vs Mallorca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Girona 1-0 Mallorca — Actual Match Statistics
Girona shaded a tight game against Mallorca 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Girona as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Mallorca saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.42 to 0.48.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mallorca led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Girona against 1.83 for Mallorca.
Girona vs Mallorca Result & Final Score
Girona 1 - 0 Mallorca in the Spain - Primera Liga on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Girona vs Mallorca Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Girona 47%, draw 29%, Mallorca 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Girona), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.