Coruxo 5-1 Burgos Promesas 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 Jan 2026

📅04/01/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
57%
+1.8pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.5pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coruxo EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Burgos Promesas 2000 EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -1%
1.69/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.67
+6% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
329 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coruxo
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Burgos Promesas 2000
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.03.2023 Burgos Promesas 2000 1-2 HT 0-2 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
30.10.2022 Coruxo Coruxo 1-2 HT 1-0 Burgos Promesas 2000 İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coruxo
5-1
AWAY Burgos Promesas 2000
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Coruxo vs Burgos Promesas 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coruxo swept aside Burgos Promesas 2000 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Coruxo as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Coruxo had 54% of the ball to Burgos Promesas 2000's 46%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Coruxo and 1.50 for Burgos Promesas 2000.

What was the final score of Coruxo vs Burgos Promesas 2000?

Coruxo 5-1 Burgos Promesas 2000 in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coruxo vs Burgos Promesas 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coruxo win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Coruxo 59%, draw 21%, Burgos Promesas 2000 19%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coruxo), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coruxo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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