Deportivo Alaves II 2-1 Zaragoza II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 Jan 2026

📅04/01/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
29%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
53%
+3.0pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaragoza II EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +15%
1.24/0.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.64
-24% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
431 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 185 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses 19.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Zaragoza II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
22.12.2024 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
24.03.2024 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
12.11.2023 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 1-0 HT 1-0 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
2-1
AWAY Zaragoza II
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves II vs Zaragoza II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves II nicked a narrow win over Zaragoza II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Alaves II as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves II had 46% of the ball to Zaragoza II's 54%, shots finished 15-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Alaves II and 1.00 for Zaragoza II.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves II vs Zaragoza II?

Deportivo Alaves II 2-1 Zaragoza II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves II vs Zaragoza II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves II win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves II 56%, draw 23%, Zaragoza II 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) ✗ Under 2.5
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