Zaragoza II 2-1 Deportivo Alaves II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.8pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaragoza II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 37%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.30/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.14
+19% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
291 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaragoza II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
12.11.2023 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 1-0 HT 1-0 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaragoza II
2-1
AWAY Deportivo Alaves II
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Zaragoza II vs Deportivo Alaves II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaragoza II edged past Deportivo Alaves II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Zaragoza II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Zaragoza II had 46% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves II's 54%, shots finished 10-6.

What was the final score of Zaragoza II vs Deportivo Alaves II?

Zaragoza II 2-1 Deportivo Alaves II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaragoza II vs Deportivo Alaves II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaragoza II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Zaragoza II 37%, draw 27%, Deportivo Alaves II 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/27/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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