Eibar II 3-2 Utebo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 Jan 2026

📅04/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
+0.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.5pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Utebo EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
0.84/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.14
-36% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Utebo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.04.2025 Utebo Utebo 2-1 HT 2-1 Eibar II Eibar II İS4
30.11.2024 Eibar II Eibar II 1-0 HT 1-0 Utebo Utebo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar II
3-2
AWAY Utebo
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eibar II vs Utebo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar II squeezed past Utebo 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Eibar II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eibar II had 45% of the ball to Utebo's 55%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eibar II and 1.00 for Utebo.

What was the final score of Eibar II vs Utebo?

Eibar II 3-2 Utebo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar II vs Utebo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Eibar II 43%, draw 30%, Utebo 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eibar II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eibar II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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