Gernika vs Basconia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gernika v Basconia — Team-Based Signals
Gernika 1-0 Basconia — Actual Match Statistics
Gernika squeezed past Basconia 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gernika as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Gernika had 39% of the ball to Basconia's 61%, shots finished 5-8.
What was the final score of Gernika vs Basconia?
Gernika 1-0 Basconia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gernika vs Basconia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gernika win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Gernika 48%, draw 27%, Basconia 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gernika), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.