Real Jaen 3-0 Malaga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 Jan 2026

📅04/01/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
48%
+3.8pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.1pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+7.1pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Jaen EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Malaga II EU Bookmakers 27%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.99/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.79
-31% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Jaen
3-0
AWAY Malaga II
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Jaen vs Malaga II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Jaen swept aside Malaga II 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Jaen as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Jaen had 49% of the ball to Malaga II's 51%, shots finished 13-3.

What was the final score of Real Jaen vs Malaga II?

Real Jaen 3-0 Malaga II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Jaen vs Malaga II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Jaen win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Real Jaen 52%, draw 23%, Malaga II 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Jaen) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Jaen) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
4 Jan 2026
14:00 Real Valladolid II vs RC Deportivo Fabril Analysis →
14:00 Quintanar del Rey vs Las Palmas II Analysis →
14:00 RSD Alcala vs Fuenlabrada Analysis →
14:00 Socuellamos vs Rayo Vallecano II Analysis →
14:00 Deportiva Minera vs Puente Genil Analysis →
14:00 UCAM Murcia vs CD Aguilas Analysis →