Real Madrid III 1-2 SS Reyes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 Jan 2026

📅04/01/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.0pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.8pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.5pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid III EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY SS Reyes EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.69/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.18
-39% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid III
1W-0D-1L
AWAY SS Reyes
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2025 SS Reyes SS Reyes 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Madrid III Real Madrid III İS4
10.11.2024 Real Madrid III Real Madrid III 1-0 HT 0-0 SS Reyes SS Reyes İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid III
1-2
AWAY SS Reyes
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Madrid III vs SS Reyes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Reyes nicked a narrow win over Real Madrid III 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day SS Reyes made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Madrid III had 52% of the ball to SS Reyes's 48%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Real Madrid III and 0.50 for SS Reyes.

What was the final score of Real Madrid III vs SS Reyes?

Real Madrid III 1-2 SS Reyes in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid III vs SS Reyes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid III win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid III 39%, draw 30%, SS Reyes 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid III) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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