Sarriana 1-0 Bergantinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 Jan 2026

Sarriana
1-0 HT 0-0
Bergantinos
📅04/01/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2025/2026

Sarriana vs Bergantinos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-4.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sarriana v Bergantinos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarriana EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergantinos EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.99/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.42
-6% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +126%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.5
POST-MATCH Sarriana vs Bergantinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarriana squeezed past Bergantinos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sarriana found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Sarriana vs Bergantinos?

Sarriana 1-0 Bergantinos in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarriana vs Bergantinos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bergantinos win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sarriana 33%, draw 29%, Bergantinos 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bergantinos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bergantinos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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