Al-Qadsiah vs Al Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al-Qadsiah v Al Riyadh — Team-Based Signals
Al-Qadsiah vs Al Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Al-Qadsiah 4-0 Al Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics
Al-Qadsiah cruised past Al Riyadh 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al-Qadsiah as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Al-Qadsiah had 62% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 38%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.28 to 0.83.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al-Qadsiah and 1.00 for Al Riyadh.
What was the final score of Al-Qadsiah vs Al Riyadh?
Al-Qadsiah 4-0 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al-Qadsiah vs Al Riyadh?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Al-Qadsiah 75%, draw 15%, Al Riyadh 10%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al-Qadsiah), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.