Osasuna 0-3 Celta Vigo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 4 Feb 2024

Osasuna
0-3 HT 0-2
Celta Vigo
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Osasuna vs Celta Vigo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.21
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.54
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.05
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
20%
4.28
X/2
9%
6.73
X/X
11%
3.58
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
13%
5.75
2/X
8%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+2.7pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.4pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.5pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Osasuna v Celta Vigo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.43/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.36
+1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 69%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
21.8 Crosses 16.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Osasuna vs Celta Vigo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Celta Vigo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.02 xG 0.81
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
329 Passes 340
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.08.2023 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0-2 HT 0-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
06.03.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 0-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
05.11.2022 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-2 HT 1-2 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
19.01.2022 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 2-0 HT 2-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
23.08.2021 Osasuna Osasuna 0-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
25.04.2021 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 2-1 HT 1-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1

Osasuna 0-3 Celta Vigo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna
0-3
AWAY Celta Vigo
1.14 xG 1.10
70% Ball Possession 30%
18 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 1
534 Passes 185
80% Pass Accuracy 63%
42 Box Touches 11
36 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Osasuna vs Celta Vigo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo swept aside Osasuna 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Osasuna at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Osasuna had 70% of the ball to Celta Vigo's 30%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.14 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Osasuna and 0.83 for Celta Vigo.

What was the final score of Osasuna vs Celta Vigo?

Osasuna 0-3 Celta Vigo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna vs Celta Vigo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Osasuna 47%, draw 25%, Celta Vigo 28%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Osasuna), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Osasuna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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