Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities
Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico Madrid — Actual Match Statistics
Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid shared the points in a 1-1 draw. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Real Madrid at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.
On the day, possession split 55% to 45% in Real Madrid's favour, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.87 to 1.17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Real Madrid against 1.83 for Atletico Madrid.
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Result & Final Score
Real Madrid 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid 61%, draw 23%, Atletico Madrid 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Madrid), Over 2.5 went the other way.