Villarreal 0-0 Cadiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.51
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.37
6+ Goals
11%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 27% vs market 22.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.04
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
15.55
X/1
13%
3.79
X/2
9%
10.35
X/X
10%
5.34
2/1
8%
23.0
2/2
9%
8.17
2/X
7%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-6.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -6%
1.92/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.60
+3% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +26%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
17.2 Crosses 17.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villarreal
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cadiz
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.40 xG 1.43
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
448 Passes 227
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.09.2023 Cadiz Cadiz 3-1 HT 2-1 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
24.05.2023 Villarreal Villarreal 2-0 HT 2-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
01.10.2022 Cadiz Cadiz 0-0 HT 0-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
20.03.2022 Cadiz Cadiz 1-0 HT 0-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
26.10.2021 Villarreal Villarreal 3-3 HT 1-2 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
21.03.2021 Villarreal Villarreal 2-1 HT 1-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal
0-0
AWAY Cadiz
1.15 xG 0.70
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 2
409 Passes 246
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
36 Box Touches 11
35 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Villarreal vs Cadiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal and Cadiz played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Villarreal at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Villarreal had 59% of the ball to Cadiz's 41%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.15 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Villarreal and 1.33 for Cadiz.

What was the final score of Villarreal vs Cadiz?

Villarreal 0-0 Cadiz in the Spain - Primera Liga on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal vs Cadiz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Villarreal 52%, draw 24%, Cadiz 24%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Villarreal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Villarreal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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