Utebo 1-0 Barbastro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
36%
3.04
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.38
Over
36%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
39%
4-5
17%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.0pp
36%
Draw
29%
+6.4pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-2.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
69%
-5.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
31%
+5.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.6pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utebo The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Barbastro The Market 26%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.63/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.50
+18% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
341 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 6.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utebo
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Barbastro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.09.2023 Barbastro Barbastro 1-1 HT 1-0 Utebo Utebo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utebo
1-0
AWAY Barbastro
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Utebo vs Barbastro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utebo nicked a narrow win over Barbastro 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Utebo as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Utebo had 50% of the ball to Barbastro's 50%, shots finished 5-3.

What was the final score of Utebo vs Barbastro?

Utebo 1-0 Barbastro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utebo vs Barbastro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utebo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Utebo 44%, draw 36%, Barbastro 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utebo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Utebo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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