Servette 3-1 Stade Ouchy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.16
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.7
6+ Goals
12%
6.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.58
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
4%
19.5
X/1
22%
3.61
X/2
4%
16.65
X/X
9%
7.54
2/1
6%
20.9
2/2
10%
12.3
2/X
9%
19.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
69%
-10.8pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.9pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+7.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.7pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Servette EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 16%
-14% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.91/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.98
-12% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +42%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
414 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
35.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
26.6 Crosses 6.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Servette
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Stade Ouchy
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.11.2023 Servette Servette 1-1 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSVK
05.08.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-1 HT 0-0 Servette Servette İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Servette
3-1
AWAY Stade Ouchy
1.91 xG 0.47
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 2
396 Passes 437
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 9
5 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Servette vs Stade Ouchy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Servette saw off Stade Ouchy 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Servette as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Servette had 48% of the ball to Stade Ouchy's 52%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.91 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Servette and 1.00 for Stade Ouchy.

What was the final score of Servette vs Stade Ouchy?

Servette 3-1 Stade Ouchy in the Switzerland - Super League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Servette vs Stade Ouchy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Servette win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Servette 58%, draw 22%, Stade Ouchy 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Servette), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Servette) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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