Yverdon 3-0 Zürich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
48%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.73
No
39%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.61
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.41
1/2 EV+ ✗
13%
22.6
1/X
7%
14.8
X/1
7%
8.57
X/2
14%
4.1
X/X
10%
5.17
2/1
10%
34.0
2/2
21%
2.31
2/X
9%
14.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.6 — our 13% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-4.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-5.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+5.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
54%
+7.2pp
39%
BTTS No
46%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yverdon EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Zürich EU Bookmakers 56%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.66/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.05
+43% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
16.0 Crosses 22.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yverdon
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Zürich
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.21 xG 2.09
45% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 11
319 Passes 296
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
4 Box Touches 30
4 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
23.07.2023 Zürich Zürich 2-0 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
26.10.2021 Yverdon Yverdon 2-2 HT 1-0 Zürich Zürich İSVK
06.05.2006 Zürich Zürich 4-1 HT 3-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
19.02.2006 Yverdon Yverdon 0-3 HT 0-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
04.12.2005 Zürich Zürich 1-1 HT 0-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
10.09.2005 Yverdon Yverdon 0-2 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yverdon
3-0
AWAY Zürich
1.06 xG 0.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
243 Passes 306
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 17
8 Crosses 27
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yverdon vs Zürich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yverdon swept aside Zürich 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Zürich at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

On the day, Yverdon had 44% of the ball to Zürich's 56%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.06 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zürich led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Yverdon and 2.33 for Zürich.

What was the final score of Yverdon vs Zürich?

Yverdon 3-0 Zürich in the Switzerland - Super League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yverdon vs Zürich?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zürich win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Yverdon 26%, draw 26%, Zürich 48%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Zürich), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zürich) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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