MSV Duisburg 0-1 Jahn Regensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 4 Feb 2024

MSV Duisburg
0-1 HT 0-1
Jahn Regensburg
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

MSV Duisburg vs Jahn Regensburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.47
6+ Goals
11%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 28% vs market 23.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.42
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
10%
6.33
X/2
19%
4.94
X/X
11%
4.59
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
16%
3.12
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

MSV Duisburg v Jahn Regensburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MSV Duisburg EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 45%
-16% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.19/2.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.81
-8% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +52%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
333 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 74%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
14.0 Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0

MSV Duisburg vs Jahn Regensburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MSV Duisburg
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.56 xG 2.88
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
281 Passes 208
70% Pass Accuracy 64%
27 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-1 HT 1-1 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
09.03.2019 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-1 HT 1-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL2
29.09.2018 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 1-3 HT 1-2 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
29.04.2018 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 4-1 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
25.11.2017 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 4-0 HT 3-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL2
01.04.2017 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL3

MSV Duisburg 0-1 Jahn Regensburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MSV Duisburg
0-1
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MSV Duisburg vs Jahn Regensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jahn Regensburg edged past MSV Duisburg 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jahn Regensburg as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, MSV Duisburg had 56% of the ball to Jahn Regensburg's 44%, shots finished 8-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jahn Regensburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for MSV Duisburg and 2.00 for Jahn Regensburg.

What was the final score of MSV Duisburg vs Jahn Regensburg?

MSV Duisburg 0-1 Jahn Regensburg in the Germany - 3rd Division on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MSV Duisburg vs Jahn Regensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jahn Regensburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split MSV Duisburg 33%, draw 24%, Jahn Regensburg 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jahn Regensburg) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jahn Regensburg) ✗ BTTS Yes
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