Waldhof Mannheim 2-2 Preussen Münster — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 4 Feb 2024

Waldhof Mannheim
2-2 HT 1-1
Preussen Münster
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Waldhof Mannheim vs Preussen Münster Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 26% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.5
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
9%
5.44
X/2
8%
5.69
X/X
11%
4.85
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
16%
3.73
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.0pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Waldhof Mannheim v Preussen Münster — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waldhof Mannheim EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -23%
2.15/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/1.21
+4% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
252 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 71%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
13.8 Crosses 29.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Waldhof Mannheim vs Preussen Münster Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waldhof Mannheim
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Preussen Münster
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 1-3 HT 0-1 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
27.06.2020 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 0-0 HT 0-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
30.11.2019 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 1-3 HT 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3

Waldhof Mannheim 2-2 Preussen Münster — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waldhof Mannheim
2-2
AWAY Preussen Münster
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Waldhof Mannheim vs Preussen Münster
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waldhof Mannheim and Preussen Münster shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Waldhof Mannheim at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Waldhof Mannheim had 53% of the ball to Preussen Münster's 47%, shots finished 18-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Waldhof Mannheim had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Waldhof Mannheim and 0.67 for Preussen Münster.

What was the final score of Waldhof Mannheim vs Preussen Münster?

Waldhof Mannheim 2-2 Preussen Münster in the Germany - 3rd Division on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waldhof Mannheim vs Preussen Münster?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waldhof Mannheim win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Waldhof Mannheim 41%, draw 26%, Preussen Münster 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Waldhof Mannheim) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Waldhof Mannheim) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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