04/02/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Chambray vs Chateauroux II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
45%
4-5
21%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
36%
Home Win
51%
26%
Draw
23%
37%
Away Win
26%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chambray v Chateauroux II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Chambray
The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY
Chateauroux II
The Market 29%
-70% /
-70%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-100%
/
-57%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
57%
Ball Possession
43%
13
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
3
388 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
223 · 71%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Chambray vs Chateauroux II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Chambray and Chateauroux II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Chambray vs Chateauroux II?
Chambray 1-1 Chateauroux II in the France - National League 3 on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chambray vs Chateauroux II?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chateauroux II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chambray 36%, draw 26%, Chateauroux II 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chateauroux II) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Chateauroux II)
✓ Under 2.5
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FRUL3
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4 Feb 2024