04/02/2024
·
21:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Peten vs Deportivo Barberena Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
48%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
47%
Home Win
56%
29%
Draw
23%
24%
Away Win
21%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Peten v Deportivo Barberena — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Peten
The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY
Deportivo Barberena
The Market 24%
-26% /
-26%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-100%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
393 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
332 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Peten vs Deportivo Barberena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Peten beat Deportivo Barberena 3-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Peten as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
What was the final score of Peten vs Deportivo Barberena?
Peten 3-1 Deportivo Barberena in the Guatemela - Premier League Apertura on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Peten vs Deportivo Barberena?
Before kick-off our model rated a Peten win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Peten 47%, draw 29%, Deportivo Barberena 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peten) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Peten)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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GUAP
More Guatemela - Premier League Apertura
4 Feb 2024