Wealdstone 0-1 Tamworth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 4 Feb 2025

Wealdstone
0-1 HT 0-0
Tamworth
📅04/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
England - National League – 2024/2025

Wealdstone vs Tamworth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.86
Over 2.5
40%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.37
6+ Goals
7%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 31% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.68
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
11%
12.9
X/1
18%
4.68
X/2
7%
7.63
X/X
11%
4.66
2/1
6%
24.7
2/2
18%
5.72
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wealdstone v Tamworth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Tamworth EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.58/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.64
-3% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.8

Wealdstone 0-1 Tamworth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wealdstone
0-1
AWAY Tamworth
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 7
0 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wealdstone vs Tamworth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth nicked a narrow win over Wealdstone 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Tamworth found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Wealdstone had 49% of the ball to Tamworth's 51%, shots finished 15-18.

What was the final score of Wealdstone vs Tamworth?

Wealdstone 0-1 Tamworth in the England - National League on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wealdstone vs Tamworth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wealdstone win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wealdstone 40%, draw 28%, Tamworth 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Wealdstone) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wealdstone) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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